Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law Stanford University


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Reply to Sutton et al.: Relationship Between Temperature and Conflict is Robust

Journal Article

Marshall Burke - Stanford University
Edward Miguel
Shanker Satyanath
John A. Dykema
David Lobell - Stanford University

Published by
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 107 no. 25, page(s) E103
June 22, 2010

In a recent paper, we documented strong historical linkages between temperature and civil conflict in Africa (1). Sutton et al. (2) raise two concerns with our findings: that the relationship between temperature and war is based on common trends and is therefore spurious, and that our model appears overly sensitive to small specification changes. Both concerns reflect a basic misunderstanding of the analysis.